Friday, August 14, 2009

Who’s on first?

Sometimes we want to know where we stand, when compared to others. Economists call this behavior, with regard to saving and spending our money, the “relative income hypothesis”. (The relative income hypothesis has been credited to J. S. Duesenberry. He wrote about it in his Harvard Ph.D. dissertation: Income, Saving and the Theory of Consumer Behavior in 1949.) Simply put, we spend our money to buy things according to the social class to which we perceive we belong. If our income increases, we ratchet up to the next social class and, if our income decreases, we ratchet down to a social class that we perceive to be lower. The trouble is that we generally find people ratcheting up much faster than they ratchet down.
The other day I was reading an insert to the Journal of Financial Planning (June 2009) and saw a table on “Income, Assets, and Liabilities by Income Group” compiled from data collected by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics in their annual Consumer Expenditure Study. The data below come from 2007 and may be found in Table 2301 at http://www.bls.gov/cex . (There is additional information on the make-up of the families in each group that is represented in Table 2301, such as sources of income, average value of owned housing, average age, how much money each group spends in different expenditure categories, and other data that academics and policymakers find interesting. Perhaps, you will find it of interest.)
As did the Journal of Financial Planning, I found it to be instructive and of interest to note the differences in assets and liabilities across income groups. The group with income in the $80,000 to $99,999 range was “the spendthrift” group, adding $18,444 to their liabilities, while only adding $10,888 to their assets. This can be seen easily, as the group has a “net change in total assets and liabilities” of a negative $7,557 – a greater negative than any other group. Unfortunately, only the highest income households, those with average incomes of $243,376, demonstrated a propensity to save money, as indicated by a change in assets greater than their increase in debts (liabilities). Moreover, the stock market, as indicated by the Standard & Poor’s 500 (adjusted for dividends and stock splits), closed slightly higher in 2007 (1468.36), than in 2006 (1418.30)!
Another thing to point out, as many of our student readers are in this income group, is that those in the lowest income category, under $70,000, on average, spent more than their after-tax income. Fully 69% of the American population is in this group! Granted, we don’t know if they spent this money due to a financial hardship, to make tuition payments, to make ends meet, or to keep up with some mythical “Jones Family” down the street. All we know is that the average American family, except those with incomes over $150,000 (representing less than 7% of American households), borrowed more than they saved and the 69% with income below $70,000 spent more than they earned.
Ask yourself if this behavior is an ingredient to the recipe for financial success? On the other hand, is this simply another fact that makes us shake our head and hope that all of us have learned some valuable lessons over the past 10 months? No one has control over how you spend your money other than you and, frankly, it shouldn’t take a world-wide financial crisis to force Americans, all of us, to wake-up and start taking care of business – starting with the finances of our own family.
- Robert O. Weagley, Ph.D., CFP(r)
Chair, Personal Financial Planning
University of Missouri
Columbia, MO 65211

Friday, August 7, 2009

Hombama

Some days it just pays to spend money. Such is the case with another of the many stimulus packages, where the government wants to help you pay for energy efficient home improvements. While this idea is not new, the programs have been expanded and extended through 2010. It just might be time to replace some windows, your air conditioner, or to install a new roof.

For starters, homeowners will be eligible to receive up to a $1,500 tax credit (one-time only) for energy efficiency improvements to their home. Prior to the stimulus bill’s passage, the limit was $500 and many of the previous credits were only allowed through 2007.

Still, like any purchase, homeowners need to put the pencil to the paper, in the context of their expected residency and the potential value of the additions to the next owner, to make the correct choice. A quick primer on the program:

As an example, assume you’re an average 2007 Missourian spending $86.22 per month on electricity. You purchase a new air conditioner for $1,700, netting you a tax credit of 30% of the purchase price, or $510. Each month, we’ll assume you’ll save 20% on your electric bill, or $17.24. If we assume a time value of money of 5%, it will take 82 months, or 6.8 years, for you to fully recoup your costs. Every month you live in the house, past 82 months, you’ll be “paid” for the home improvement. At a 0% time value of money (much closer to today’s APYs!), you would only need to live in the home for 69 months (5.75 years) to begin to profit from your expenditure. Of course, these figures ignore any increase in the resale value of your home or the smug satisfaction you feel by being “greener” than your neighbor.

While this may seem complicated, the point of the above should be reiterated. Your family is like a business. You need to work to reduce costs, while maximizing revenues. Of course, this is always done in the context of what brings you the greatest satisfaction – which is what makes your family different than a business. Regardless, consideration of the financial impact of expenditures, as well as your expected residency in a home and how the improvement is valued at resale, are key inputs to decisions in support of your financial success.

- Robert O. Weagley, Ph.D., CFP(r)
Chair, Personal Financial Planning
University of Missouri
Columbia, MO 65211